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Temperature 58.0°F (Airport mtr004KEWN°F mtr003KEWN

Wind Gust  0mph

Direction

Humidity 76%

 
Wind Chill   58.0

Barometer   30.18

 

Expires:202410120815;;119456
FPUS52 KMHX 112300
ZFPMHX

Zone Forecast Product for Eastern North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024


NCZ194-120815-
Southern Craven-
Including the cities of New Bern, River Bend, Fairfield Harbor, 
and Havelock
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around
5 mph, becoming west after midnight. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Not as cool with lows in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.COLUMBUS DAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly
cloudy. Cooler with lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as warm with highs in the mid 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then clearing.
Lows in the lower 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


 

 

 

Expires:202410121115;;119435
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ135-121115-
Pamlico Sound-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves
around 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft. 
.SAT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft
in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the
evening, then 1 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the
evening. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.  

$$


 

 

 

Expires:202410121115;;119431
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ100-121115-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Cool and dry high pressure will build over the Eastern Seaboard 
today bringing benign weather to ENC. High pressure will slowly 
migrate south this weekend with a cold front pushing through the 
area early next week. A second high pressure system then builds 
over the Eastern Seaboard midweek next week.

$$


 

 

Expires:202410121115;;119437
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ137-121115-
Neuse and Bay Rivers-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...NW winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves
light chop. 
.SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt
after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after
midnight. 
.MON...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the
afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Waves a moderate chop. 
.TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.  

$$


 

Expires:202410121115;;119442
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ158-121115-
S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NW after midnight. Seas
3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave Detail: E 4 ft at
10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except around 2 ft
near shore. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 10 seconds and W 1 ft at
2 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except around
2 ft near shore. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 13 seconds and SW 2 ft at
3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except 2 to 3 ft
near shore. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 3 ft at
14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to
5 to 7 ft after midnight. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and E
3 ft at 13 seconds, becoming SW 6 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at
12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to
rough after midnight. 
.MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave Detail: SW
6 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and
rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent
sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after
midnight. 
.TUE...N winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers a moderate chop. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers choppy. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers choppy. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers
choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. 

$$

 

Expires:202410120815;;122410
FZUS52 KMHX 120010
SRFMHX

Surf Zone Forecast
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
810 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024


NCZ195-120815-
West Carteret-
Including the beaches of Fort Macon, Atlantic Beach, 
Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
810 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.SATURDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................Around 2 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
UV Index**..................Moderate. 
Weather.....................Sunny. 
High Temperature............In the mid 70s. 
Winds.......................West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.6 feet (MLLW) 09:02 AM EDT.
                            High 4.2 feet (MLLW) 03:17 PM EDT.

.SUNDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................2 to 3 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
Weather.....................Sunny. 
High Temperature............In the mid 70s. 
Winds.......................Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.4 feet (MLLW) 10:02 AM EDT.
                            High 4.4 feet (MLLW) 04:20 PM EDT.

&&

Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.

** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mhx

$$


 

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_0d0.png  

Tropical Imagery   Tropical Imagery 2

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png

 

 

 

image

 

image

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Viewing mouth of Upper Broad Creek, just below Northwest Creek and Fairfield Harbour, taken South of Johnson Point facing ENE  Any suggestions or requests please email me by this link.  

Last Updated 10:01pm on 10/11/24

Old Links

 


 

Weather Models

Compare 4

Models

Updated at 6am

Today's Forecast for 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/06/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_012_10m_wnd_precip.gif  

 Tomorrow at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_030_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 2 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif

3 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif

4 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

5 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

6 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

7 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

9 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

12 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 

Updated at 6pm

 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_030_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 2 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif

3 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif

4 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

5 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

6 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

7 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

9 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

12 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

New Bern Area Weather Forecast

 

 

 

Expires:202410121115;;119435
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ135-121115-
Pamlico Sound-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves
around 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft. 
.SAT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft
in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the
evening, then 1 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the
evening. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.  

$$


 

Weather Synopsis

Expires:202410121115;;119431
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ100-121115-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Cool and dry high pressure will build over the Eastern Seaboard 
today bringing benign weather to ENC. High pressure will slowly 
migrate south this weekend with a cold front pushing through the 
area early next week. A second high pressure system then builds 
over the Eastern Seaboard midweek next week.

$$


Neuse and Bay River Marine Forecast

Expires:202410121115;;119437
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ137-121115-
Neuse and Bay Rivers-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...NW winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves
light chop. 
.SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt
after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after
midnight. 
.MON...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the
afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Waves a moderate chop. 
.TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.  

$$


Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast

Expires:202410121115;;119435
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ135-121115-
Pamlico Sound-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves
around 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft. 
.SAT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft
in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the
evening, then 1 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the
evening. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.  

$$


Atlantic Beach Forecast

Expires:202309170800;;465863
FPUS52 KMHX 111924
ZFPMHX

Zone Forecast Product for Eastern North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1248 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018


NCZ095-170800-
Carteret-
Including the cities of Morehead City, Beaufort, Newport, 
Atlantic Beach, and Emerald Isle
1248 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018

.REST OF TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy with
lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain
20 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Breezy with lows
in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely,
mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance
of rain 50 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 

$$


Atlantic Beach Marine Forecast

Expires:202410121115;;119442
FZUS52 KMHX 112300
CWFMHX

Coastal Waters Forecast for North Carolina
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From S of Currituck Beach Light to N of Surf City NC out 20 NM,
including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds and the Monitor
National Marine Sanctuary


AMZ158-121115-
S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
700 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.TONIGHT...N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NW after midnight. Seas
3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave Detail: E 4 ft at
10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except around 2 ft
near shore. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 10 seconds and W 1 ft at
2 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except around
2 ft near shore. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 13 seconds and SW 2 ft at
3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, except 2 to 3 ft
near shore. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 3 ft at
14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to
5 to 7 ft after midnight. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and E
3 ft at 13 seconds, becoming SW 6 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at
12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to
rough after midnight. 
.MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave Detail: SW
6 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and
rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent
sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after
midnight. 
.TUE...N winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers a moderate chop. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers choppy. 
.WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers choppy. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers
choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. 

$$

Atlantic Beach Surf Zone Forecast

Expires:202410120815;;122410
FZUS52 KMHX 120010
SRFMHX

Surf Zone Forecast
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
810 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024


NCZ195-120815-
West Carteret-
Including the beaches of Fort Macon, Atlantic Beach, 
Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
810 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

.SATURDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................Around 2 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
UV Index**..................Moderate. 
Weather.....................Sunny. 
High Temperature............In the mid 70s. 
Winds.......................West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.6 feet (MLLW) 09:02 AM EDT.
                            High 4.2 feet (MLLW) 03:17 PM EDT.

.SUNDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Low. 
Surf Height.................2 to 3 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
Weather.....................Sunny. 
High Temperature............In the mid 70s. 
Winds.......................Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.4 feet (MLLW) 10:02 AM EDT.
                            High 4.4 feet (MLLW) 04:20 PM EDT.

&&

Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.

** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mhx

$$


Tropical Outlook Discussion

Expires:No;;121540
ABNT20 KNHC 112345 CCA
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024


Corrected to add probabilities

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean.

Near the Cabo Verde Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an 
area of low pressure just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some 
development is possible tonight, and a short-lived tropical storm 
could form while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph away from the Cabo Verde Islands.  On Saturday, 
environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive, and 
further development appears unlikely after that time.  Regardless of 
development, gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are likely to 
continue over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Tropical Summary

Expires:No;;537453
ABNT30 KNHC 011155
TWSAT 

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone activity this September was close to average in 
terms of the number of named storms and hurricanes that formed in 
the basin.  Six named storms formed in September with three of 
them becoming hurricanes, and one of those becoming a major 
hurricane (Helene). Based on a 30-year climatology (1991-2020), 
between 4-5 named storms typically develop in September, with 
three of them becoming hurricanes, and one of those becoming a 
major hurricane. 

During the month, Hurricane Francine made landfall in southern 
Louisiana as a category 2 hurricane, and Helene made landfall as a 
category 4 hurricane along the coast of the Florida Big Bend. 

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the 
strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in 
the basin so far in 2024 is about 80 percent of the long-term 
(1991-2020) mean. 

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the 
National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl

Summary Table

Name                     Dates               Max Wind (mph)
------------------------------------------------------------------
TS Alberto              19-20 Jun                 50*
MH Beryl             28 Jun-9 Jul                165
TS Chris	     30 Jun-1 Jul                 45*
H  Debby                  3-9 Aug                 80
H  Ernesto              12-20 Aug                100
H  Francine              9-12 Sep                100
TS Gordon               11-17 Sep                 45
MH Helene               24-27 Sep                140
H  Isaac                26-30 Sep                105
TS Joyce                27-30 Sep                 50
TS Kirk              29 Sep-                      60

------------------------------------------------------------------ 

Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).
* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



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