NEUSEWEATHER

Temperature 70.0°F (Airport mtr004KEWN°F mtr003KEWN)

Wind Gust 8mph

Direction ESE

Humidity 80%

Southern Craven- Including the cities of New Bern, River Bend, Fairfield Harbor, and Havelock 830 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 .TONIGHT...Mostly clear early this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Not as warm with highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Chance of rain 80 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely in the morning, then partly sunny with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. .TUESDAY...Sunny, warmer with highs in the lower 70s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. $$

Pamlico Sound- 831 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog late this evening and early morning with vsby 1 to 3 NM. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E winds around 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. .SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE in the evening, then becoming SW after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms. $$

.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters... Backdoor cold front tracks across the area tonight eventually stalling and dissipating just to the south overnight. More unsettled weather is possible for the weekend into early next week as a cold front tracks across the region Friday night with a low pressure system and its associated fronts then impacting the Carolinas on Saturday night into early next week before high pressure ridge builds in from the west on Tuesday. $$

Neuse and Bay Rivers- 831 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Patchy fog after midnight. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. .SAT...W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. Showers. .MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. .TUE...N winds around 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon, then becoming S in the evening, becoming SW after midnight. Waves light chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms. $$

S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
831 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE 5 to 10 kt late this
evening, then becoming E after midnight, increasing to 10 to
15 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent
sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop late
this evening and early morning, then increasing to a moderate
chop late. 
.FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period
7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas
2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers
light chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers
in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. 
.SAT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period
7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of
showers with a slight chance of tstms. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent
sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a
slight chance of tstms. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Adjacent
sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the
afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers
likely in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Adjacent sounds and
rivers choppy. Showers.
.MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate
chop. Showers, mainly in the morning. 
.TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon, then
becoming S in the evening, becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to
light chop.  

Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

$$

Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle 1052 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .REST OF TODAY... Rip Current Risk*...........Moderate. Surf Height.................2 to 3 feet. Thunderstorm Potential**....None. UV Index**..................Very High. Weather.....................Sunny. High Temperature............In the mid 70s. Winds.......................Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Tides... Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.5 feet (MLLW) 10:40 AM EDT. High 3.2 feet (MLLW) 04:58 PM EDT. .FRIDAY... Rip Current Risk*...........Low. Surf Height.................Around 2 feet. Thunderstorm Potential**....None. Weather.....................Mostly sunny. High Temperature............Around 70. Winds.......................East winds around 10 mph. Tides... Atlantic Beach...........Low 0.4 feet (MLLW) 11:19 AM EDT. High 3.4 feet (MLLW) 05:42 PM EDT. && Rip Current Risk Category * Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however, life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins, jetties, reefs, and piers. * Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone. * High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf zone. ** For thunderstorm, waterspout, and UV definitions see: https://www.weather.gov/beach/mhx $$

Carteret- Including the cities of Morehead City, Beaufort, Newport, Atlantic Beach, and Emerald Isle 1248 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018 .REST OF TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy with lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Breezy with lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 70 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. $$

S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm- 831 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 .TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE 5 to 10 kt late this evening, then becoming E after midnight, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop late this evening and early morning, then increasing to a moderate chop late. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. .SAT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate chop. Showers, mainly in the morning. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon, then becoming S in the evening, becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms. $$

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: No tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin in the month of November. Based on a 30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years. A disturbance (Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two) caused heavy rains and flooding across portions of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and Hispaniola during the middle part of the month, but the system did not become a tropical cyclone. Overall, the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal activity in terms of the number of named storms but a normal amount of activity in terms of the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes. In 2023, 20 storms of at least tropical storm strength formed, of which 7 became hurricanes and 3 became major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). This compares to the long-term (1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2023 was about 20 percent above average compared to the long-term (1991-2020) mean. Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the National Hurricane Center website at www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl Summary Table Name Dates Max Wind (mph) ----------------------------------------------------------- Unnamed STS 16-17 Jan 70* TS Arlene 1-3 Jun 40* TS Bret 19-24 Jun 70* TS Cindy 22-26 Jun 60* H Don 14-24 Jul 75* TS Emily 20-21 Aug 50* MH Franklin 20 Aug- 1 Sep 150 TS Gert 19- 4 Sep 60* TS Harold 21-23 Aug 50 MH Idalia 26-31 Aug 130 TS Jose 29 Aug- 1 Sep 60 TS Katia 1- 4 Sep 60 MH Lee 5-16 Sep 165 H Margot 7-17 Sep 90 H Nigel 15-22 Sep 100 TS Ophelia 22-24 Sep 70 TS Philippe 23 Sep- 6 Oct 50 TS Rina 28 Sep- 1 Oct 50* TS Sean 11-15 Oct 45 H Tammy 18-29 Oct 105 TD Twenty-One 23-24 Oct 30 ----------------------------------------------------------- * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete. $$ Hurricane Specialist Unit