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Viewing mouth of Upper Broad Creek, just below Northwest Creek and
Fairfield Harbour, taken South of Johnson Point facing ENE
Southern Craven-
Including the cities of New Bern, River Bend, Fairfield Harbor,
and Havelock
1253 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.REST OF TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Breezy and much cooler with lows in the upper 30s. North
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler with highs in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Much warmer with highs around 70. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming west 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming
partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
rain 60 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Breezy with highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Breezy with lows in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs around 60.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the mid 60s.
$$
Pamlico Sound-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt.
Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of
showers late.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.WED...W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.THU...N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming NE
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
.FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of showers in the afternoon. Showers likely.
.SAT...SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW in the afternoon, then
becoming N in the evening, increasing to 25 to 30 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, then a chance of
showers.
$$
.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Gusty winds and offshore showers tonight. Cool high pressure
builds Monday through the middle of next week. A dry front will
move through Wednesday night. Another frontal system and low
pressure may impact the area late week into early next weekend.
$$
Neuse and Bay Rivers-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.
Waves rough. A chance of showers.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
around 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to light
chop in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop,
increasing to choppy after midnight.
.WED...W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming SW
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a
moderate chop in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight.
Waves a moderate chop.
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Waves a
moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
.FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE after midnight. Waves a
moderate chop. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
.SAT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N. Waves choppy. Showers
likely, mainly in the morning.
$$
S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period
5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A chance of
showers.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft
near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers
rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers
rough.
.WED...W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period
5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to
choppy in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the
evening. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas
2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers a moderate chop.
.FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE after midnight. Seas 2 to
3 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
A chance of showers, then showers likely.
.SAT...S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 20 to 25 kt in the
afternoon, then becoming N. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 5 to
8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough.
Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
$$
Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
816 PM EDT Tue Oct 31 2023
...The Surf Zone Forecast has been discontinued for the season...
The Surf Zone Forecast has been discontinued until April, 2024. Tide
and water temperature information can still be obtained on the
RDUTIDMHX product.
$$
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me by this link.
Last
Updated 3:10am on 3/19/24
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New Bern Area Weather Forecast
Pamlico Sound-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt.
Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of
showers late.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.WED...W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.THU...N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming NE
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
.FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of showers in the afternoon. Showers likely.
.SAT...SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW in the afternoon, then
becoming N in the evening, increasing to 25 to 30 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, then a chance of
showers.
$$
|
Weather Synopsis
.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Gusty winds and offshore showers tonight. Cool high pressure
builds Monday through the middle of next week. A dry front will
move through Wednesday night. Another frontal system and low
pressure may impact the area late week into early next weekend.
$$
|
Neuse and Bay River Marine Forecast
Neuse and Bay Rivers-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.
Waves rough. A chance of showers.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
around 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to light
chop in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop,
increasing to choppy after midnight.
.WED...W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming SW
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a
moderate chop in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight.
Waves a moderate chop.
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Waves a
moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
.FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE after midnight. Waves a
moderate chop. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
.SAT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N. Waves choppy. Showers
likely, mainly in the morning.
$$
|
Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast
Pamlico Sound-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt.
Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of
showers late.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.WED...W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.THU...N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming NE
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
.FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of showers in the afternoon. Showers likely.
.SAT...SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW in the afternoon, then
becoming N in the evening, increasing to 25 to 30 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, then a chance of
showers.
$$
|
Atlantic Beach Forecast
Carteret-
Including the cities of Morehead City, Beaufort, Newport,
Atlantic Beach, and Emerald Isle
1248 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
.REST OF TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy with
lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain
20 percent.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Breezy with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Breezy with lows
in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Chance of rain 70 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely,
mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain
60 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance
of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Chance of rain 50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
$$
|
Atlantic Beach Marine Forecast
S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
1252 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.REST OF TONIGHT...N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period
5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A chance of
showers.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft
near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers
rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers
rough.
.WED...W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period
5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to
choppy in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the
evening. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas
2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers a moderate chop.
.FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE after midnight. Seas 2 to
3 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
A chance of showers, then showers likely.
.SAT...S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 20 to 25 kt in the
afternoon, then becoming N. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 5 to
8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough.
Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
$$
|
Atlantic Beach Surf Zone Forecast
Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
816 PM EDT Tue Oct 31 2023
...The Surf Zone Forecast has been discontinued for the season...
The Surf Zone Forecast has been discontinued until April, 2024. Tide
and water temperature information can still be obtained on the
RDUTIDMHX product.
$$
|
Tropical Outlook Discussion
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
|
Tropical Summary
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
No tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin in the month of
November. Based on a 30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical
storm forms in November once every year or two, and a hurricane
forms once every two years. A disturbance (Potential Tropical
Cyclone Twenty-Two) caused heavy rains and flooding across portions
of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and Hispaniola during the middle part of
the month, but the system did not become a tropical cyclone.
Overall, the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal
activity in terms of the number of named storms but a normal amount
of activity in terms of the number of hurricanes and major
hurricanes. In 2023, 20 storms of at least tropical storm strength
formed, of which 7 became hurricanes and 3 became major hurricanes
(category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).
This compares to the long-term (1991-2020) averages of 14 named
storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. In terms of
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and
duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin
in 2023 was about 20 percent above average compared to the long-term
(1991-2020) mean.
Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl
Summary Table
Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Unnamed STS 16-17 Jan 70*
TS Arlene 1-3 Jun 40*
TS Bret 19-24 Jun 70*
TS Cindy 22-26 Jun 60*
H Don 14-24 Jul 75*
TS Emily 20-21 Aug 50*
MH Franklin 20 Aug- 1 Sep 150
TS Gert 19- 4 Sep 60*
TS Harold 21-23 Aug 50
MH Idalia 26-31 Aug 130
TS Jose 29 Aug- 1 Sep 60
TS Katia 1- 4 Sep 60
MH Lee 5-16 Sep 165
H Margot 7-17 Sep 90
H Nigel 15-22 Sep 100
TS Ophelia 22-24 Sep 70
TS Philippe 23 Sep- 6 Oct 50
TS Rina 28 Sep- 1 Oct 50*
TS Sean 11-15 Oct 45
H Tammy 18-29 Oct 105
TD Twenty-One 23-24 Oct 30
-----------------------------------------------------------
* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit
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Surf Forecast
5
Minute Wind Speed
6
Hour Wind Speed
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Hour Wind Direction
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